Some thoughts on the storm.

no correlations since this happened last year too with irene, and many years before, when other places were the bad places.

what you are suffering from is called

Fallacy of false cause

Fallacy of false cause or non sequitur: incorrectly assumes one thing is the cause of another. Non Sequituris Latin for "It does not follow."
- Example
  
  Argument: I hear the rain falling outside my window; therefore, the sun is not shining.
  
  Problem: The conclusion is false because the sun can shine while it is raining.
- Special cases
  - post hoc ergo propter hoc: believing that temporal succession implies a causal relation.
    - Example
      
      Argument: It rained just before the car broke down. The rain caused the car to break down.
      
      Problem: There may be no connection between the two events. Two events co-occurring is not an indication of causation.
  - cum hoc ergo propter hoc: believing that correlation implies a causal relation.
    - Example
      
      Argument: More cows die in the summer months. More ice cream is consumed in summer months. Therefore, the consumption of ice cream in the summer months is killing cows.
      
      Problem: No premise suggests the ice cream consumption is causing the deaths. The deaths and consumption could be unrelated, or something else could be causing both, such as summer heat.
      
      Also called causation versus correlation.

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Replies

3smn7ct05z5dx October 30, 2012 at 6:13am
no correlations since this happened last year too with irene, and many years before, when other places were the bad places.

what you are suffering from is called

Fallacy of false cause
- Fallacy of false cause or non sequitur: incorrectly assumes one thing is the cause of another. Non Sequituris Latin for "It does not follow."
  
  Example
  
  Argument: I hear the rain falling outside my window; therefore, the sun is not shining.
  
  Problem: The conclusion is false because the sun can shine while it is raining.
  
  Special cases
  
  post hoc ergo propter hoc: believing that temporal succession implies a causal relation.
  
  Example
  
  Argument: It rained just before the car broke down. The rain caused the car to break down.
  
  Problem: There may be no connection between the two events. Two events co-occurring is not an indication of causation.
  
  cum hoc ergo propter hoc: believing that correlation implies a causal relation.
  
  Example
  
  Argument: More cows die in the summer months. More ice cream is consumed in summer months. Therefore, the consumption of ice cream in the summer months is killing cows.
  
  Problem: No premise suggests the ice cream consumption is causing the deaths. The deaths and consumption could be unrelated, or something else could be causing both, such as summer heat.
  
  Also called causation versus correlation.
- 777LightSeeker > 3smn7ct05z5dx October 30, 2012 at 6:46am
  
  Lol thank you for your response One! I appreciate your detailed explanation <3 Love you

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