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  • This assumption of 'idealism' is baffling when realpolitik is actually what takes place in the world! The denial of the countries adjacent to Russia from joining NATO is as sensible as denying Saudi Arabia or Iran etc nuclear capabilities. This is realpolitik, not the idealistic one they want to apply in Ukraine.

    And are these countries like Ukraine and Poland etc growing into the so called 'democracies'? Nope! Ukraine is busy banning political parties. The 'west' failed to understand that 'democracy', like any other form of governance is more 'regional' than a country wise thing. You can't easily create an 'Island' of 'democracy' immersed in an ocean of 'authoritarianism' the few such 'democracies' are exceptions, not the rule.

    With this, even 'advancing of democracy' should not have been an exuse to advance NATO eastward. Same thing applies to 'economic prosperity'. It is often regional. The 1990s promises that 'we can curve out as prosperous countries in the eastern Europe, to the exclusion of Russia as long as they embrace neo-liberal democracy' was a pipedream. Yet this 'we will soon be like the westerners if we only behave like them' fat lie is part of what what wooed these Eastern European countries into NATO, seeding the present conflict.
  • Yes, in Europe we used to have more of a sense of diplomacy and military geo-political strategy, designed to avert war between major powers...Recently, it has been more provocative and that process commenced under President Clinton, in the 1990s...
    Trying to expand NATO right onto Russia's doorstep, which is plainly bonkers...

    The unrealistic geo-political strategies, of the "west," originate after the Soviet Union was dissolved and so, by 1991, President Bush Snr could announce a "new world order," making the "west" confident to invade Iraq....I complained at the time...

    And the same with NATO, as more and more former Russian satellite states, and also former Soviet Republics, sought western protection...
    Prior to the early 1990s, back in the 1980s and earlier, the western block, wanted to prevent nuclear war, not start it...They feared Russia then, BUT, also respected Russia and did not get involved in the 1968, "Prague spring," when the USSR and Warsaw allies, invaded the former Czechoslovakia. They complained, diplomatically, but realised that it was part of the USSR's turf...Russia's back yard...So they did not mobilise NATO, for a serious rebuttal....

    The one event that was very dangerous, was the Russian response to a Polish uprising, in 1980, which caused major tensions between east and west, that could have gone nuclear and actually the west did deploy stealth bombers with neutron warheads, to get under the Russian anti-misslie defenses....This was stopped by the GFL and the neutron bombs were deactivated in their storage pens, Bentwaters Base, England...

    The west did fight a proxy war in Afghanistan, using the anti-Russian Mujahideen, but that was not a troop deployment, with Anglo-American forces...1980s...
    And backed Saddam's Iraq, in the war against Iran, 1980-88....But again, proxy support...Geo-politics can make an ally one day, a convenient enemy, the next. As it was with Saddam...

    And the Cuban missile crisis of 1962, was a firm resolve, by JFK, but the Russians pulled out their rockets, knowing that it could lead to war escalation...Both sides wanted a balance and wanted to keep the world from a major war....Even a non-nuclear war was considered dangerous, then...It was the same with Hungary, 1956...Russia re-invaded. It was the USSR's back-yard, so NATO did not get involved...

    And then we had a series of weapons limitation treaties, such as the START treaty, which limited nuclear weapons, but a sentiment that originated in the 1980s...Under Reagan...

    The west now should get it's sanity back....We used to be sane in the UK. And so was the US....Let us not get annoyed with a resurgent Russia....But instead, grow our own economies and trade links, for a better world...
    We could start by shelving the current private western central banking system and going back to sound money, like the BRICS will be doing, soon..And if Iran and Argentina want to join BRICS, well good luck to them....Of course they will have to rename this club; BRIICAS......

    And Britain should link up with many Commonwealth nations and our Anglosphere...and the CPTPP....And then, after we get our confidence back, as a former "western block" nation, we might even put out peace feelers to Russia...That bear is much more cuddly than many assume....;-)
  • Understanding such is puzzling because in the event of a clash between NATO and Russia, those countries bordering Russia will be the battle ground trampled on. It is a great irresponsibility and non-strategy to choose sides when you are on the buffer. Take Iraq, and Jordan for instance. Of course they prevent Iran and Israel (the arch enemies) from fighting. But things will change if military alliances are built eg a Jordan(or Syria)-Iraq-Iran NATO -like mounster. It effectively brings two otherwise too distant enemies close to each other, hence making a war more likely! But middle easterners seem more prudent in this issue, as indicated when Iraq helps to deescalate US-Iran tensions following the renewed Iranian sanctions. Iraq can maintain a good relationship with Iran etc without necessarily forming a military alliance with it.
  • This nuclear potential for escalation, virually written into NATO's absurd rules, means that they cannot be taken as sane....As you say, throughout history, minor border frictions did happen in Europe....It did not and should not always lead to a major war...Of course, it did with the Serbian/Austrian dispute and the German attack on Poland, but it need not...

    Personally I observe the main paranoia and Russophobia coming from the former eastern block nations, who always fear Russia re-establishing control over them...The west uses these national phobias, to keep strategic control...Like British and American influence over the Baltic, military assets stationed in the Baltic states. Both UK and US station troops in the formerly east block nations. Poland, Romania, and several nations of that type..And now we see Finland and Sweden going down this track....It's absurd...

    Of course, the GFL will not allow either side to destroy this planet, with nuclear...
  • What else? Britain etc does not share any boundary with Russia, and so the original Aim of NATO was a more reasonable deterrence with the immense power projection capabilities of USSR in mind, not mere traditional wars where neighbours often are the ones that clash. This was even further enhanced by the advent of Intercontinental Balistic Missiles (IBMs) and the now feard threat of a Nuclear exchange using these IBMs. So it was never about deterrence of the traditional 'boundary wars' at all. These latter wars are best done via bilateral mutual deterrence whereby armies became naturary weaker the more they advance into the territory of the adjacent country. No need for any multilateral arrangement!! Israel, with full support from US and some support from Russia, etc, for instance, is far more powerfull than the mere non-state actor, increasingly sanctioned Hezbollah, and yet the latter group can significantly deter Israel from attacking Lebanon.

    So it was good when NATO members don't share any border with Russia, as mere skirmishes that might necessary occur on the border, such as those between Hezbollah and Israel, only risk being a full blown war between NATO and Russia. Why should an attack on one country automatically lead to a world war, and a potential annihilation of civilization? This is unreasonable! Countries have clashed on borders throughout history. It is unrealistic to aim at a world where there are no clashes on the borders, because any such, would lead to a full blown nuclear war!
  • Roaring said: "The cheapest way to avoid war with Russia is just to maintain a good relationship with Russia. No need to join NATO! All these countries near Russia are not in NATO: Iran, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Kazakhstan, Mongolia, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, China, North/south Korea, Japan, Israel, Lebanon, Belarus, Georgia, Afghanistan etc. They are not and they will never be in NATO. How then can they try to convince you that suddenly, if you just to the west, Russia will eat you up unless you are in NATO?"

    Drekx response: Yes I really wish that my country, the UK, could stop this hatred of Russia...If I were a British PM, relations with Russia would be very peaceful and trade would flow, without any fuss....I'm something of a Russophile and frankly, can understand Russian foreign policy logic, far more easily, than the so called "western block's" foreign policies...
    The real reasons for all this nonsense, stem from Russia being disobedient towards the western central banking system...Globalism is not happy with such nations...
    Russia demands payments in Roubles (understanderbly) and pegs their currency to gold....A direct threat to the US dollar, reserve currency status...lol
  • It burdens American tax payer and demeans a European! Essentially, it says unless Europe is constantly threatened with an external enemy, then it cannot stay together in peace'. Include Russia in the 'peace map', so that there is no 'external enemy' any more, and Europe will revert to its ww1, ww2 or even colonialistic history. 'That is their nature', the NATO says, 'and so it is the responsibility of the American tax payer to force peace in that irresponsible place called 'Europe'!
  • Even with that, Ukraine could simply agree to put the 'no joining NATO' in its constitution with the condition that Russia put 'no attacking Ukraine' into its constitution too, and the war ends! It is very simple, and that is why I said history will judge Europe! What complicates it is this NATO monster that needs its as$ kissed by Europeans as 'the only condition for peace in Europe'.šŸ˜†
  • The cheapest way to avoid war with Russia is just to maintain a good relationship with Russia. No need to join NATO! All these countries near Russia are not in NATO: Iran, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Kazakhstan, Mongolia, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, China, North/south Korea, Japan, Israel, Lebanon, Belarus, Georgia, Afghanistan etc. They are not and they will never be in NATO. How then can they try to convince you that suddenly, if you just to the west, Russia will eat you up unless you are in NATO?

    NATO is useless , dangerous, needlessly expensive way of trying to avoid war with Russia!
  • The good thing is that anyone can stear this wall☺
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